Growing seismic activity in the major volcanic systems of Iceland has put scientists and civil protection authorities on alert.
While there are no signs of immediate eruption in any of the major volcanic systems, growing seismic activity, growing geothermal activity
and the expansion of the crust in these systems indicates they are all in an unusually active phase.
Iceland has at least 30 active volcanic systems, all of which are under constant observation by scientists.
The four most active volcanoes and volcanic systems in Iceland are Bárðarbunga and Grímsvötn (both of which are located beneath Vatnajökull glacier),
Katla (which is hidden under Mýrdalsjökull glacier) and the cone volcano Hekla in South Iceland.
Each has shown increasing signs of growing activity in the past few months (Páll Einarsson (Geophysicist) told Fréttablaðið).
Katla has been particularly active in the past few months. Several large earthquakes have taken place in the caldera, the latest a 4.3 magnitude earthquake last Thursday.
“Katla is more active during some years, and some years she is less active. This past year, since last fall, has been one of the more active years, even if it has yet to set any records.”
Last week, the Department of Civil Protection and Emergency Management board of scientists, said that the growing activity raised concerns and recommended increased monitoring.
Historically, Katla has erupted very regularly with 60-80 years between eruptions, on average.
The last eruption took place in 1918, making Katla long overdue for an eruption.
One of the most active volcanoes in Iceland, Hekla in South Iceland, is also overdue for an eruption.
The cone volcano has erupted on average every ten years.
The last eruption took place in 2000.
Measurements showed that the magma chambers of Hekla were quickly filling up this past summer 2016, indicating the mountain was potentially ready to blow any time.
Páll Einarsson (Geophysicist) told Fréttablaðið that Hekla did not show immediate signs of eruption, but added that eruptions in Hekla tend to begin without any warning.
However, all measurements show growing pressures building up in the magma chambers of Hekla.
The latest major seismic episode in Bárðarbunga registered 4.3 and 4.0 magnitude quakes, hitting the eastern part of the main caldera.
History suggests that volcanic activity in the Bárðarbunga system comes in drawn-out episodes, each lasting several years.
The fourth major volcano showing growing activity is Grímsvötn, located beneath Vatnajökull, to the south of Bárðarbunga.Eruptions in Grímsvötn are quite common, erupting on average once every seven years in the past.
“Growing seismic activity points to an eruption in the next few years.”
Varying Levels of Danger
All of these potential volcanic eruptions, are likely to pose significant risks to people.
An eruption in Katla would create glacial outburst floods which threaten areas where large numbers of people can be expected to be located at any time, including the village of Vík in south Iceland, but also on the black sand beaches of Sólheimasandur where the DC-3 airplane wreckage draws large numbers of visitors every day.
Eruptions in these volcanoes could also create massive ash plumes which could pose danger to air traffic.
ICE2017 Team continues to keep a close eye on developments of these recent activity, as it may influence our planning for this years adventure.
Maybe we will have the opportunity to experience a live volcanic eruption.